US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Euler
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Betfair have unsuspended the market
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Derek27
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Tuco wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 3:51 pm
Trader Pat wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 3:32 pm
on't understand why they suspended it, if Trump was at deaths door then fine but by all accounts he's OK. Luckily I don't have any open positions in the market but feel for others who might
Personally I don't think Betfair should suspend any market for any reason once it has begun, until the time arrives for it to be settled. That includes football markets and any/all others. The market will or will not determine the correct price.
Before VAR it still would have been simpler to let traders manage their own bets and newbies (who should be trading to £2 stakes) can learn the hard way. With VAR and all the complications that go with it, it would be even simpler to let the market run from whistle to whistle, close and then settle on the final result.
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Derek27
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Kafkaesque wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 4:36 pm
My sympathy for Trump is exactly zero, but worse still than your scenario, as I'm sure people know, if Trump and Pence are unable to assume office, Pelosi would become president. The absolute scenes were that to happen :shock:
I'd rather she was president and not because I've got a soft spot for her. She's got a good head on her shoulders and will easily make 100. :)
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Derek27
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Joe tweeted to say that he and his wife is fine but forgot to well wish Trump. :lol:
greenmark
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I reckon DT having covid is a stunt.
BJ said 'I'm sure they will stage a recovery'.
What better way to enter an election than having 'beaten' a deadly virus.
Jukebox
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This will give DT an option, if he wants it, to bow out without losing if he believes he can't win.
Anbell
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Anbell wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 9:04 am
TraderFred wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:58 am
Anbell wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 8:51 am
I dont have a betdaq aact and can't see any prices there. Is it still open, and what's the price?
Yes Smarkets now halted, Betdaq still open.

Current prices:

Biden.... 1.57/1.58

Trump... 3.05/3.1

Pence.... 34/ 39
Thanks. Trump... 3.05/3.1 seems low to me given that he was 2.5 before catching a deadly virus, but I don't know anything. I only took $800 at 2.76, on the theory that there was a good chance he'd test positive, so I'll trade out whenever the markets open, at whatever price.
I greened up at 2.92. Disappointed.
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megarain
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Trump out to 3.2

Pence 34

Maybe he has more than a mild fever ?
Anbell
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megarain wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 10:20 pm
Trump out to 3.2

Pence 34

Maybe he has more than a mild fever ?
Wow. I've got awful timing.
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Kafkaesque
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Derek27 wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 4:58 pm
Kafkaesque wrote:
Fri Oct 02, 2020 4:36 pm
My sympathy for Trump is exactly zero, but worse still than your scenario, as I'm sure people know, if Trump and Pence are unable to assume office, Pelosi would become president. The absolute scenes were that to happen :shock:
I'd rather she was president and not because I've got a soft spot for her. She's got a good head on her shoulders and will easily make 100. :)
What me, you, or anyone else thinks about Pelosi - or Trump for that matter - is irrelevant (in this narrow context obv) imho. The US and the world at large do not need the absolute shithousery that's bound to occur if the scenario, of someone representing the opposite party of the elected President becoming potus, should come to pass. The line of potential presidents was iirc implemented more with a view towards wartime. In other words a time where a nation traditionally is united. Right now the United States couldn't be further from being united.
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jamesedwards
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MARKET SUSPENDED!!!
Emmson
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:o
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jamesedwards
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Trump in hospital
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jamesedwards
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Posted at 22:2222:22
BREAKING
Trump taken to hospital
US President Donald Trump is being taken to Walter Reed Medical Centre, in Maryland, following his diagnosis with coronavirus.

White House reporters have been told he is going there for tests.

Earlier today, his Chief of Staff Matt Meadows told reporters that the president was displaying "mild symptoms." Trump's physician also confirmed the president was "fatigued but in good spirits."
Emmson
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Last edited by Emmson on Fri Oct 02, 2020 10:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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