US Presidential Election 2020

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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gazuty
Posts: 2556
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Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:45 am
New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

Also for anyone wondering the votes left to count in NV are mail-in ballots received on or after election day as well as same-day voter registration ballots
Doesn't Trump need PA + one of AZ or NV?
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Naffman
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gazuty wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:17 am
Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:45 am
New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

Also for anyone wondering the votes left to count in NV are mail-in ballots received on or after election day as well as same-day voter registration ballots
Doesn't Trump need PA + one of AZ or NV?
Yes he needs to hold everywhere then pick up either AZ or NV
sionascaig
Posts: 1623
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Naffman wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 7:45 am
New batch of AZ came out (mail ballots that were cast Mon/Tue) showing a 58/41 split in Trump's favour closing the gap to 69k, going to be a close one there that's for sure.

I agree Foxhat, whoever wins PA wins the WH - if there's no lawsuits that is

Also for anyone wondering the votes left to count in NV are mail-in ballots received on or after election day as well as same-day voter registration ballots
I think there are 600,000 ballots stuck in US Postal service too that the courts have already ruled should be included but not sure how they are split across the country - another potential court battle looming..
rik
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Joined: Sat Jan 25, 2014 5:16 am

so Wisconsin still 1.06/07 even though declared as won already, betfair not going to wait for settlement until potential court rulings??
Emmson
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rik wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:31 am
so Wisconsin still 1.06/07 even though declared as won already, betfair not going to wait for settlement until potential court rulings??
recounts
jamesg46
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Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 2:50 am
abgespaced wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:43 am
The problem was handled by the Democrats long before the counting started. Suppression polling, intimidation, confiscating/burning/discarding postal ballots, votes from dead people and cats. Biden knew he was going to win because of these tactics. In his own words he has "the best election fraud team". That's why he made a speech before Trump did, to force Trumps hand while holding all the aces. Now the left wing has more fuel for their fires. Watch the violence escalate and be blamed on Trump.
Trump demanded that vote counting stops while he's winning, including legitimate votes, and you think the Democrats caused the problem. :lol:
From what I've read the reason for demanding the counting to be stopped was because in Michigan they sent their ballot counters home for the night and told press that they would resume in the morning, when counting resumed Bidens count suddenly spiked by over 100k votes but nobody had been counting. A similar thing apparently happened in Wisconsin.

They have filed a lawsuit in Pennsyvania because they are not being allowed to see the ballots counted (which is part of a previous law suit) & both sides must be legally allowed to watch...

There is tonnes of videos online regarding fraud, is any of it true, who knows. There is videos of boxes of ballots being dropped off to closed counting stations in the dead of night, videos of Democrats setting fire to a bag of Republican Ballots, boxes of dumped ballots that never made it to be counted. Polling stations issuing sharpie pens in Republican areas. Is any of it true, maybe, maybe not. I think in total there were 4 " data errors" that acurred during the counting all favouring Biden, an extra 0 on the count etc... anyway rambling on.
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jimibt
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jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:36 am
From what I've read the reason for demanding the counting to be stopped was because in Michigan they sent their ballot counters home for the night and told press that they would resume in the morning, when counting resumed Bidens count suddenly spiked by over 100k votes but nobody had been counting. A similar thing apparently happened in Wisconsin.
jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:36 am
There is videos of boxes of ballots being dropped off to closed counting stations in the dead of night, videos of Democrats setting fire to a bag of Republican Ballots, boxes of dumped ballots that never made it to be counted. Polling stations issuing sharpie pens in Republican areas.
oh dear, the gullable and social media -made for each other!! :D I've looked all thro the telegraph, al jazeera and bbc news and coudn't find this snippet, sounds really, really bad.. very bad :roll:
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Kafkaesque
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Comical relief in the midst. Danish reporter inside where they're counting in Georgia:

"A yell of joy from across all the people counting. Which made me think, they were done counting. But we're in the US....A delivery of doughnuts had arrived!"

:lol: :lol: :lol:
jamesg46
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jimibt wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:05 am
jamesg46 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 8:36 am

From what I've read the reason for demanding the counting to be stopped was because in Michigan they sent their ballot counters home for the night and told press that they would resume in the morning, when counting resumed Bidens count suddenly spiked by over 100k votes but nobody had been counting. A similar thing apparently happened in Wisconsin.
oh dear, the gullable and social media -made for each other!! :D I've looked all thro the telegraph, al jazeera and bbc news and coudn't find this snippet, sounds really, really bad.. very bad :roll:
I didn’t write it because I believe it to be fact, just a perspective of what I've been reading. The msm narrative will be the popular one, I'm just open to everything, who knows what opportunities it could throw up.

This is my first time trading politics and anything I can get to help understand why people may or may not behave in the markets ill take.
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gazuty
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Prepare for more gyrations in the market. Nate Silver thinks AZ swings back to Trump.
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firlandsfarm
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Emmson wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 1:02 am
abgespaced wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 12:43 am
The problem was handled by the Democrats long before the counting started. Suppression polling, intimidation, confiscating/burning/discarding postal ballots, votes from dead people and cats. Biden knew he was going to win because of these tactics. In his own words he has "the best election fraud team". That's why he made a speech before Trump did, to force Trumps hand while holding all the aces. Now the left wing has more fuel for their fires. Watch the violence escalate and be blamed on Trump.
Voter suppression is a republican tool for decades not democrats, quite frankly this is tosh.
I don't know whether it's "tosh" or not but I do know he said "We Have Put Together The Most Extensive And Inclusive Voter Fraud Organization In The History Of American Politics" unless of course the videos that can be found on the Internet were dubbed!
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firlandsfarm
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Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 2:50 am
Trump demanded that vote counting stops while he's winning, including legitimate votes, and you think the Democrats caused the problem. :lol:
Biden said "We Have Put Together The Most Extensive And Inclusive Voter Fraud Organization In The History Of American Politics" and you think the Republicans caused the problem. :lol:
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megarain
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Kafkaesque wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:21 am
Comical relief in the midst. Danish reporter inside where they're counting in Georgia:

"A yell of joy from across all the people counting. Which made me think, they were done counting. But we're in the US....A delivery of doughnuts had arrived!"

:lol: :lol: :lol:
Hope they had equal amounts of red or blue jam.

Am pretty sure these counters are unpaid volunteers. Not much of a gig.

//

Which reminds me of a rant.

6 doughnuts at greggs cost 1 quid.

1 doughnut at Disneyworld, costs $4
greenmark
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Joined: Mon Jan 29, 2018 2:15 pm

firlandsfarm wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:00 am
Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 2:50 am
Trump demanded that vote counting stops while he's winning, including legitimate votes, and you think the Democrats caused the problem. :lol:
Biden said "We Have Put Together The Most Extensive And Inclusive Voter Fraud Organization In The History Of American Politics" and you think the Republicans caused the problem. :lol:
You must all realise Biden was referring to fraud prevention.
Or are you simply criticising him for not including the word prevention?
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-fact- ... SKBN27E2VH
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firlandsfarm
Posts: 3321
Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

greenmark wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:20 am
firlandsfarm wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:00 am
Derek27 wrote:
Thu Nov 05, 2020 2:50 am
Trump demanded that vote counting stops while he's winning, including legitimate votes, and you think the Democrats caused the problem. :lol:
Biden said "We Have Put Together The Most Extensive And Inclusive Voter Fraud Organization In The History Of American Politics" and you think the Republicans caused the problem. :lol:
You must all realise Biden was referring to fraud prevention.
Or are you simply criticising him for not including the word prevention?
https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-fact- ... SKBN27E2VH
I have no idea but what I do see is that when Biden mis-states something we all have to realise he didn't mean it as said but if Trump mis-states something it is cast in stone!
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