US Presidential Election 2020

[Trader Pat]

Its like Derek says which is why I'm amazed people were backing Harris and Pence after election day. First two lines of the rules:

This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market.

...exactly Pat - it's not rocket science!

Apparently it is to some people!

[jamesedwards]

Its like Derek says which is why I'm amazed people were backing Harris and Pence after election day. First two lines of the rules:

This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market.

...exactly Pat - it's not rocket science!

Apparently it is to some people!

It all comes down to Betfair's definition of "projected Electoral College votes". This could in fact mean any projection by anyone at any time.

[jamesg46]

Betfair will settle the market as and when they choose. Doesn't matter what Brian or Suzanne at CNN say. Don't know why it matters, an open market is an open opportunity. If Biden has won with no doubt whatsoever then take the 5% on offer, you would have to wait a while for a 5% Dividend to pay out or even to gain 5% on your savings. I dont get it, if there is no doubt in your minds take the free money, plenty on offer.

[jamesg46]

7 million quid up for grabs, fill your boots.

[jamesg46]

8 million now

[jamesedwards]

Betfair will settle the market as and when they choose. Doesn't matter what Brian or Suzanne at CNN say. Don't know why it matters, an open market is an open opportunity. If Biden has won with no doubt whatsoever then take the 5% on offer, you would have to wait a while for a 5% Dividend to pay out or even to gain 5% on your savings. I dont get it, if there is no doubt in your minds take the free money, plenty on offer.

Absolutely!

[Trader Pat]

Its like Derek says which is why I'm amazed people were backing Harris and Pence after election day. First two lines of the rules:

This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election. Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market.

...exactly Pat - it's not rocket science!

Apparently it is to some people!

It all comes down to Betfair's definition of "projected Electoral College votes". This could in fact mean any projection by anyone at any time.

It seems pretty black and white to me Jamie.


This market will be settled according to the candidate that has the most projected Electoral College votes won at the 2020 presidential election.

Pretty self explanatory, Biden is projected to win 306 Trump 232.


Any subsequent events such as a ‘faithless elector’ will have no effect on the settlement of this market.

I read that to say whatever the electors say next month is irrelevant.


Notice in the rules Betfair say projected Electoral College votes. If the electors turn up next month and give their votes to Trump he would have the votes, he wouldn't be projected to have the votes.

For me the reason Betfair haven't settled the market is because Trump hasn't conceded. I'd expect the market to close after the electors meet next month.

[jamesg46]

Betfair will settle the market as and when they choose. Doesn't matter what Brian or Suzanne at CNN say. Don't know why it matters, an open market is an open opportunity. If Biden has won with no doubt whatsoever then take the 5% on offer, you would have to wait a while for a 5% Dividend to pay out or even to gain 5% on your savings. I dont get it, if there is no doubt in your minds take the free money, plenty on offer.

Absolutely!

The last sentence in that screen grab from the rules says all we need to know.

[Trader Pat]

The last sentence in that screen grab from the rules says all we need to know.

What's your interpretation James?

[jamesg46]

The last sentence in that screen grab from the rules says all we need to know.

What's your interpretation James?

That the market is open and this is also stated in the rules. I dont care when they settle the market.

Whats really at the forefront of my attention right now is the Trump legal teams press conference and it appears Rudy's hair die is running down his cheek because he's sweating so bad.

[jamesg46]

Just for men.

[Trader Pat]

Just when you thought he couldn't make anymore of a spectacle of himself!

[jamesg46]

Tomorrow's headline is Rudys hair die. Forget the part where they've just told the press that they have a top Dominion officials social media chat with Antifa claiming he has got the Election rigged, who cares, its all about the piss take.

[Trader Pat]

Tomorrow's headline is Rudys hair die. Forget the part where they've just told the press that they have a top Dominion officials social media chat with Antifa claiming he has got the Election rigged, who cares, its all about the piss take.

If you're taking anything Rudy has to say seriously then I worry for you James!

[jamesg46]

Tomorrow's headline is Rudys hair die. Forget the part where they've just told the press that they have a top Dominion officials social media chat with Antifa claiming he has got the Election rigged, who cares, its all about the piss take.

If you're taking anything Rudy has to say seriously then I worry for you James!

Its not about what I perceive as true or false, thats the courts job. Ill wait and see what the outcome is before making judgement of my own. Like I said, its all about the piss take atm.