UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Naffman
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Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.
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firlandsfarm
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Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Naffman wrote:
Mon Feb 16, 2026 7:57 pm
Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.
I don't understand people like Lowe. He may have a grudge against Farage but I would guess he's closer to Farage than Labour/Lib Dems so why put at risk the chance they might 'get in' because of a grudge? With any luck he will go the way of Corbin.
unexposed
Posts: 10
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2022 7:33 am

From a trading perspective, i don't see how Reform are not attractive at 2.8 - 3 in the most seats market.

Restore unlikely to have much impact in the short term at least and expect Reform to do very well in the local elections and maybe an outside chance in Gorton and Denton. Jenrick also giving a speech to the City this morning after being announced as Reform's would be Chancellor. See how that goes down
tico
Posts: 144
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

Hi All,
Rupert Lowe(names says it all really) is just a (another) far right joke and will fizzle out .
I still think we may have a hung parliament .As for Gorton I dont see the Greens pulling it off despite their favouritism.
regards
Tico
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Euler
Posts: 26913
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Almost certainly a hung parliament. People are confused, don't trust anybody and keep voting for the least worst option.

Reform is gaining ground because everybody is pissed with all the other parties. Labour has lost the far left to the Greens. But Green policies are complete fantasy, but appeal to their particular core voter base.

In Gorton i think you will have a load of shy Reform voters. Won't publicy tell people or the pollsters, but when the results come in that will pop out of the votes.

I feel sorry for the people there. They won't get an MP that will do any good for them. They are just being used as a political punching bag.
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firlandsfarm
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Joined: Sat May 03, 2014 8:20 am

Euler wrote:
Wed Feb 18, 2026 11:25 am
I feel sorry for the people there. They won't get an MP that will do any good for them. They are just being used as a political punching bag.
The cynic in me asks if any MP does anything for their constituency. You only see mine in public when there's a photo opportunity!
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Mine is completely useless. I'm really doubting the benefit of them, especially when all they do is send out and vote for the party line. What's the point in paying somebody £100k a year to do that!
tico
Posts: 144
Joined: Fri Sep 20, 2024 9:18 pm

The vast majority of MP's are just riding the gravy train.The model Corbyn suggested for Your Party has it's merits,bottom up instead of top down .How it would work in reality however is anyones guess.
:roll:
egards
Tico
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Naffman
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Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

My Labour MP has actually been doing a good job in trying to stop the proppant squeeze application nearby, I suppose that's where individual constituency betting values those in certain districts, as some MP's are obviously better than others and people will vote for them despite hating the leader of that party.

It seems people back in the day preferred stability. Completely the opposite now.
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