UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

[Naffman]

Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.

[firlandsfarm]

Lowe obviously has a vendetta against Farage and wants his ego rubbing. Will definitely appeal to the BNP types who want a more right wing party. They’ll win at most 1-2 seats but will take at least 5% away from Reform in most seats which in such a close election would be brutal.

I don't understand people like Lowe. He may have a grudge against Farage but I would guess he's closer to Farage than Labour/Lib Dems so why put at risk the chance they might 'get in' because of a grudge? With any luck he will go the way of Corbin.

[unexposed]

From a trading perspective, i don't see how Reform are not attractive at 2.8 - 3 in the most seats market.

Restore unlikely to have much impact in the short term at least and expect Reform to do very well in the local elections and maybe an outside chance in Gorton and Denton. Jenrick also giving a speech to the City this morning after being announced as Reform's would be Chancellor. See how that goes down

[tico]

Hi All,
Rupert Lowe(names says it all really) is just a (another) far right joke and will fizzle out .
I still think we may have a hung parliament .As for Gorton I dont see the Greens pulling it off despite their favouritism.
regards
Tico

[Euler]

Almost certainly a hung parliament. People are confused, don't trust anybody and keep voting for the least worst option.

Reform is gaining ground because everybody is pissed with all the other parties. Labour has lost the far left to the Greens. But Green policies are complete fantasy, but appeal to their particular core voter base.

In Gorton i think you will have a load of shy Reform voters. Won't publicy tell people or the pollsters, but when the results come in that will pop out of the votes.

I feel sorry for the people there. They won't get an MP that will do any good for them. They are just being used as a political punching bag.

[firlandsfarm]

I feel sorry for the people there. They won't get an MP that will do any good for them. They are just being used as a political punching bag.

The cynic in me asks if any MP does anything for their constituency. You only see mine in public when there's a photo opportunity!

[Euler]

Mine is completely useless. I'm really doubting the benefit of them, especially when all they do is send out and vote for the party line. What's the point in paying somebody £100k a year to do that!

[tico]

The vast majority of MP's are just riding the gravy train.The model Corbyn suggested for Your Party has it's merits,bottom up instead of top down .How it would work in reality however is anyones guess.

egards
Tico

[Naffman]

My Labour MP has actually been doing a good job in trying to stop the proppant squeeze application nearby, I suppose that's where individual constituency betting values those in certain districts, as some MP's are obviously better than others and people will vote for them despite hating the leader of that party.

It seems people back in the day preferred stability. Completely the opposite now.

[firlandsfarm]

Not an election matter but couldn't think of an appropriate thread to past this under ... Andrew M-W has been arrested!

[jamesedwards]

Not an election matter but couldn't think of an appropriate thread to past this under ... Andrew M-W has been arrested!

The whole thing just seems to be one big witch hunt now.

[Euler]

Not an election matter but couldn't think of an appropriate thread to past this under ... Andrew M-W has been arrested!

The whole thing just seems to be one big witch hunt now.

I was also thinking that this morning.

[Euler]

Restore Britain have entered the next general election market, and the odds are all over the place, but they're taking up about 5% of the market now.

[tico]

Hi all,
When, not if ,the USA invade Iran ,there is a good chance that the world cup will be off.The worlds gone bonkers...all bets are off.
Regards
Tico

[tico]

Hi all,
Greens powering ahead in Gorton for Thursdays by election.From a betting point of view I am still on Reform (not politically just a series of bets),but trading will be brisk this week .There could be money in a bit of a swing away from the Greens as the week progresses ,but bettingwise at the moment they seem unstoppable.
I just can't see the Greens cracking it though.Lots of people who will vote reform are not racists ,sadly they have just seriously crossed wires and are labouring under the delusion that Reform will bring about change.
Regards
Tico