A Profitable Model For Predicting the Over/Under Market in Football

[Euler]

I found this paper on-line and had a look.

https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/epr ... ls_LSE.pdf

In this video, I explain roughly what they are doing and the key formula: -

https://youtu.be/CK7LyOODP6c

I've created a spreadsheet that replicates this, which I have attached.

[makkad]

Thank You

[erictheg7]

Thank you for this.

[Cobalt]

Peter Parker never disappoints! With great power in the markets comes great responsibility to people. Thanks

[Damian0987]

Thank you.

[Raskol(nee Kov)]

Thanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?

[Mike Oxlong]

Thanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?

The original paper states that their data is collected from https://www.football-data.co.uk/

[Filbal]

Thanks

[mancityfan55]

Thank you!

[jon4440]

Thank you.

[MiDASONE]

Hey everyone this is excellent, big question i cannot seem to find stats to input in once place. for example corner stats against and shots against. I'm having to bounce between soccerstats.com foottystats.com and https://fbref.com. Sofa scores doesn't have all stats either. Anyone know where I can find all the stats to input into the spreadsheet from one site? thanks

[Raskol(nee Kov)]

Thanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?

The original paper states that their data is collected from https://www.football-data.co.uk/

Thanks, I saw that in the original paper.
It's just that site, in my opinion, is not very user friendly at all.
Anyway, no big deal now, I've found another site which is far easier to navigate.