I found this paper on-line and had a look.
https://researchonline.lse.ac.uk/id/epr ... ls_LSE.pdf
In this video, I explain roughly what they are doing and the key formula: -
https://youtu.be/CK7LyOODP6c
I've created a spreadsheet that replicates this, which I have attached.
A Profitable Model For Predicting the Over/Under Market in Football
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Raskol(nee Kov)
- Posts: 10
- Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:17 pm
Thanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?
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Mike Oxlong
- Posts: 41
- Joined: Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:14 pm
The original paper states that their data is collected from https://www.football-data.co.uk/Raskol(nee Kov) wrote: ↑Wed Feb 25, 2026 7:54 pmThanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?
Hey everyone this is excellent, big question i cannot seem to find stats to input in once place. for example corner stats against and shots against. I'm having to bounce between soccerstats.com foottystats.com and https://fbref.com. Sofa scores doesn't have all stats either. Anyone know where I can find all the stats to input into the spreadsheet from one site? thanks
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Raskol(nee Kov)
- Posts: 10
- Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:17 pm
Thanks, I saw that in the original paper.Mike Oxlong wrote: ↑Wed Feb 25, 2026 10:12 pmThe original paper states that their data is collected from https://www.football-data.co.uk/Raskol(nee Kov) wrote: ↑Wed Feb 25, 2026 7:54 pmThanks for this.
What sites are people using to get the data to populate spreadsheets of this type?
It's just that site, in my opinion, is not very user friendly at all.
Anyway, no big deal now, I've found another site which is far easier to navigate.
