UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

I did some work looking at local election cycles and how they relate to incumbent parliaments and general election cycles. This is what I found.
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jamesedwards
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Joined: Wed Nov 21, 2018 6:16 pm

Glad to see the BBC are on the ball. :lol:


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Last edited by jamesedwards on Fri May 08, 2026 3:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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LeTiss
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Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

I think the market is spot on with regards to the next UK GE

If it were held today, the market predicts Reform would win most seats, but would struggle to win enough for an overall majority
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Euler
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Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm

Looking in detail at a lot of the votes, it looks like, in some cases, certainly around my area, Reform has split the vote with the Conservatives and occasionally let in a different councillor. All the Labour councillors have suffered a haemorrhaging of support.

In my constituency, Labour got just 16 votes.
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