UK General Election 2029 - Trading ONLY thread

[ForFolksSake]

... anybody going to the Tommy Robinson 'gig' this weekend

[jamesedwards]

... anybody going to the Tommy Robinson 'gig' this weekend

I have interest in Reform from the perspective of protecting British values, cutting wasteful spend, and a more pragmatic approach to wokeism and political correctness.

But I have no interest in the more hostile xenophobic atmosphere likely to prevail at this sort of event.

[Euler]

Makerfield by-election market is up on Betfair.

https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/p ... .258206408

[Naffman]

Will probably be the biggest by election ever (interest and betting wise)

[jamesedwards]

Reform only need a 6.7% swing to capture the Makerfield seat from Labour.

In the local elections last week the eight Makerfield constituency wards put Reform at 50.4% compared to Labour's 22.7%. This represents an approximate 18-point local swing from Labour to Reform since the 2024 General Election.

Reform will win.

[Naffman]

Labour voters will be keen to vote for Burnham though, as will some Green voters.

[jamesedwards]

Starmer is going to be sitting their on by-election night hoping that Labour lose their seat.